Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 157.964998 185.058873 217.422166 259.529468 313.781000 3.826509e+02 4.789423e+02
2025-02-23 122.229796 154.660053 198.018046 262.382473 359.622666 5.088772e+02 7.737914e+02
2025-03-02 103.659360 137.896498 187.255546 267.724421 404.989172 6.517743e+02 1.199737e+03
2025-03-09 90.934275 125.516503 178.285844 270.892587 445.642885 8.076467e+02 1.814136e+03
2025-03-16 79.662491 112.876467 165.676514 263.570253 463.424053 9.291859e+02 2.524415e+03
2025-03-23 74.260694 108.220983 164.667327 275.970238 525.106615 1.197673e+03 4.291973e+03
2025-03-30 66.400109 98.385064 152.983312 264.786383 530.140460 1.321365e+03 5.891198e+03
2025-04-06 61.781671 93.288886 148.744987 267.456410 569.949165 1.594504e+03 9.866615e+03
2025-04-13 57.389760 88.009180 143.285500 266.128454 599.159758 1.868510e+03 1.668997e+04
2025-04-20 55.400535 86.665349 144.993524 281.224462 683.416800 2.508562e+03 4.560807e+04
2025-04-27 54.580798 87.287367 150.600134 307.199962 819.680897 3.754936e+03 3.353018e+05
2025-05-04 51.275096 82.921063 145.347370 304.449788 855.079720 4.477393e+03 3.032105e+06
2025-05-11 48.483740 79.582661 142.505466 309.584039 935.438234 6.032234e+03 NaN
2025-05-18 45.771017 76.164744 139.123919 312.910234 1016.565778 8.257197e+03 NaN
2025-05-25 43.589433 73.542182 137.089997 319.705069 1123.909820 1.214209e+04 NaN
2025-06-01 41.472046 70.813958 134.384639 323.753178 1225.433167 1.801126e+04 NaN
2025-06-08 38.834863 66.769365 128.028639 314.399833 1244.714997 2.260088e+04 NaN
2025-06-15 37.769829 65.875307 129.093450 330.253414 1444.797888 4.584938e+04 NaN
2025-06-22 35.338943 61.887349 122.038546 315.951537 1424.538045 5.521024e+04 NaN
2025-06-29 33.945196 59.997943 120.009634 319.360743 1546.463275 1.045520e+05 NaN
2025-07-06 32.447690 57.760137 116.817059 317.664740 1630.305490 1.960450e+05 NaN
2025-07-13 31.907618 57.559375 118.868217 336.992151 1944.320986 1.526865e+06 NaN
2025-07-20 31.841317 58.397080 123.816662 370.486774 2515.812341 NaN NaN